Showing 1 - 10 of 137
Introduction to the theory of international trade and finance with applications to current policy issues. From the ….e. international trade, and what determines the flow of savings and investments from one country to another, i.e. international finance … globalization, free trade agreements, the large current account deficits of the US, the prospects for exchange rates, and the calls …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009432089
We analyze exchange rate volatility in the Visegrad Four countries in the course of their abandoning tight regimes for … generalized error distribution. The overall findings are that volatility path dependence has a limited effect on exchange rate … developments and introduction of floating regimes tends to increase exchange rate volatility. During the period of flexible regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476919
This paper compares the true, ex-ante forecasting performance of a micro-based model against both a standard macro model and a random walk. In contrast to existing literature, which is focused on longer horizon forecasting, we examine forecasting over horizons from one day to one month (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440722
Nominal exchange rate volatility has been greater than that of "fundamentals" supposed to establish the exchange rates …. A major contribution to our understanding of this volatility was given by Rudiger Dornbusch in his 1976 paper … theory to exchange rate behaviour to conjecture that the very volatility of exchange rate movements induces firms to have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441733
Finding evidence of the theoretical relationship between exchange rate and inflation has been a difficult proposition in an exchange rate market, despite many studies in developed markets. Three recent papers employing a new research design, Theil’s Divisia index method, found that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441758
low-frequency multi-country panel time series data for a group of trade-related nations in the Asia Pacific, including … Japan. Our findings suggest that exchange rate is affected by growth rate, and trade and capital flows: other less … significant variables include sovereign debt; balance of payments; money supply; and trade openness. It also confirms that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441762
greatly reduces volatility within such an informal “currency area”. Our theoretical findings are supported by empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009477062
The SOMC is a collection of individuals, so we do not always agree fully on all issues. There are certain similarities of viewpoint across individuals, however, that give a recognizable flavor to most of the committee?s analyses and positions. Three leading examples are beliefs that governmental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483027
In this study, the forward premium anomaly is revisited. The bias of the forward rate in predicting the future spot rate implies the failure of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP), the backbone of many economic models in international finance. In analyzing the classical explanations of the puzzle,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429059
Economics
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431915