Showing 1 - 10 of 20
a single concept of relevance delivers this for a wide range of models, including models that allow for ambiguity … attitude.  We also use symmetry and relevance to provide insight into the foundations of the α-MEU and smooth ambiguity models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605069
The paper outlines an exchangeable non-Bayesian model of preference generalizing the Savage/de Finetti classic model of subjective expected utility preference with an exchangeable prior. The treatment is informal, and the emphasis is on motivation and potential applications rather than on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875377
relevant measures as reflecting part of perceived ambiguity, meaning subjective uncertainty about probabilities over states …. Under mild conditions, we show that increases or decreases in ambiguity aversion cannot affect the relevant measures. This … property, necessary for the conclusion that these measures reflect only perceived ambiguity, distinguishes the set of relevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010780802
The de Finetti Theorem is a cornerstone of the Bayesian approach. Bernardo (1996) writes that its "message is very clear: if a sequence of observations is judged to be exchangeable, then any subset of them must be regarded as a random sample from some model, and there exists a prior distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008599642
The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599392
The de Finetti Theorem is a cornerstone of the Bayesian approach. Bernardo (1996) writes that its "message is very clear: if a sequence of observations is judged to be exchangeable, then any subset of them must be regarded as a random sample from some model, and there exists a prior distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599431
The de Finetti Theorem on exchangeable predictive priors is generalized to a framework where preference is represented by Choquet expected utility with respect to a belief function (a special capacity). The resulting model provides behavioral foundations for the decision-maker's subjective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263610
The α-MEU model and the smooth ambiguity model are two popular models in decision making under ambiguity. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670885
between the set of relevant measures, shown by KMS [21] to reflect only perceived ambiguity, and the set of measures (which we … perceived ambiguity. Regarding symmetry assumptions, we show that, under relatively mild conditions, a variety of preference … stringent. Only when it is satisfied may the Bewley set be interpreted as reflecting only perceived ambiguity and not also taste …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927996
The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812753