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The inability of the Bayesian model to accomodate Ellsberg-type behavior is well known. This paper focuses on another limitation of the Bayesian model, specific to a dynamic setting, namely the inability to permit a distinction between experiments that are identical and those that are only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808190
compositions are identical. We identify choices that reveal an aversion to ambiguity about the relation between urns, thus … identifying a source of uncertainty different from the usual Knightian distinction between risk and ambiguity. Behavior is studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106061
When ambiguity averse investors process news of uncertain quality, they act as if they take a worst-case assessment of … returns, increase price volatility and induce ambiguity premia that depend on idiosyncratic risk in fundamentals. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504015
This paper considers learning when the distinction between risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) matters. Working … that cannot be captured by noisy signals. They induce nonmonotonic changes in agent confidence and prevent ambiguity from … participation costs that depend on past market performance. Hedging of ambiguity provides a new reason why the investment horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504040
When ambiguity averse investors process news of uncertain quality, they act as if they take a worst-case assessment of … induce ambiguity premia that depend on idiosyncratic risk in fundamentals. Moreover, shocks to information quality can have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504043
This paper considers learning when the distinction between risk and ambiguity matters. It first describes thought …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200802
The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200804