Milani, Fabio - Department of Economics, University of California-Irvine - 2014
updating their beliefs through constant-gain learning. In each period, however, they may form expectations that fall above or … expectations is relaxed. The paper exploits, instead, observed data on expectations in the estimation. The observed expectations … are assumed to be formed from a near-rational learning model. Agents are endowed with a perceived law of motion that …