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rational expectations. This paper relaxes the assumption of rational expectations and it allows for learning instead. Economic … agents form expectations from simple models and update the parameters through constant-gain learning. I estimate the model by …This paper estimates a DSGE model with learning to re-examine the evidence on time variation in post-war U.S. monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126467
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404215
Recent papers have argued that one implication of globalization is that domestic inflation rates may have now become more a function of ``global", rather than domestic, economic conditions, as postulated by closed-economy Phillips curves. This paper aims to assess the empirical importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970915
This paper employs a structural model to estimate whether global output gap has become an important determinant of U.S. inflation dynamics. The results provide support for the relevance of global slack as a determinant of U.S. inflation after 1985. The role of domestic output gap, instead, seems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977962
updating their beliefs through constant-gain learning. In each period, however, they may form expectations that fall above or … expectations is relaxed. The paper exploits, instead, observed data on expectations in the estimation. The observed expectations … are assumed to be formed from a near-rational learning model. Agents are endowed with a perceived law of motion that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155512
assumption of rational expectations and assumes that economic agents learn over time and form near-rational expectations from … traditional ``wealth effect" and through its impact on agents' expectations. Monetary policy decisions also affect and are … fluctuations have had important effects on output expectations. Shocks in the stock market can account for a large portion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004975564
demand and supply in the model. The assumption of rational expectations is relaxed in favor of learning. Oil prices … estimated learning dynamics indicates that economic agents' perceptions about the effects of oil prices on the economy have … effects after the mid-1980s. Since expectations play a large role in the determination of output and inflation, the effects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005006717
This paper investigates the performances of an inflation targeting regime in a learning economy framed as an Agent … rules of thumb – or heuristics – while a continuous learning process governs the evolution of those rules. Under these … rational expectations, and study the role that a central bank, implementing an inflation targeting regime via a monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048696
rational expectations equilibrium endogenously arise from those learning rules. Subsequently, the central bank implements an …This paper investigates the performances of an inflation targeting regime in a learning economy, whose functioning is … expectations in that respect, agents are supposed to adopt economic forms of behaviour that are guided by simple rules of thumb …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553274
Previous literature has shown that, in a New Keynesian model, an expectations based policy rule induces E-stability of … fundamentals, which can also achieve stability of equilibrium under learning. This policy has parameters that evolve over time and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263396