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In the Netherlands the current dike design policy is to design flood defence structures corresponding to an agreed flooding probability with an extra safety board of at least 0.5 m. For river dikes a return period of 1,250 years is used to determine the design water levels. A problem with this...
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to successfully integrate climate change uncertainties. This paper explores the relationships between climate change and … long-lived infrastructure according to the different types of direct and indirect uncertainties surrounding climate change … explains how this same process could be reviewed to make it more responsive to the many uncertainties surrounding our future …
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In this paper we use the Hodrick-Prescott filter for analysing global temperature data. We are especially concerned with a reliable estimation of the trend component at the end of the data sample. To this end we employ time-varying values for the penalization parameter. The optimal values are...
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