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Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception

Albu, Lucian Liviu; Gorun, Adrian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2010) 5, pp. 7-16

Macroeconomic forecasting started around the Second World War as a way to test economic theories, but it also has a …. During the last decades, the economic forecasting and macroeconomic modelling have taken on an increasingly important role in … presenting synthetically the last trends in forecasting and macroeconomic modelling. The next part is devoted to show how new …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321269

The Contribution of Econometrics to the Management of the Enterprise

Bourbonnais, Régis; Maftei, Mara Magda - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2012) 1, pp. 144-155

applications to companies: demand analysis and forecasting of sales, financial econometrics, marketing and integration of macro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553156

A Model for Measuring the National Global Performance and Analyzing its Determinants – The Case of Romania

Herciu, Mihaela; Ogrean, Claudia - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2011) 4, pp. 163-177

Interdependencies – in time and in space – between (the most) different phenomena and processes, as well as entities (at global – national – local/regional – firm level) – characterize all the domains and levels of the society and humankind. The main idea and the general purpose of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011038686

The Roots of the Banking Crisis in the New EU Member States: A Panel Regression Approach

Festic, Mejra; Kavkler, Alenka - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2012) 1, pp. 20-40

We contributed to the empirical evidence of the impact of macroeconomic environment on the non-performing loans (NPL) ratio dynamics by analyzing the panel model with fixed effects, the model with random effects and instrumental variable regressions to control for a potential endogeneity...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010586233

ROMANIA IN A POST-CREDIT CRUNCH WORLD? A CAUTIONARY TALE FROM AUSTRALIA AND AMERICA

Costea, Carmen; Keen, Steve - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 6 (2009) 1, pp. 16-35

We present data on debt accumulation in Australia and the United States, and tentative data on Romania, to pose the question of whether Romania might experience a credit crunch as a result of the US subprime financial crisis. We develop a model of a credit crunch in a pure credit economy with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052119

SHORT-TERM FORECASTING FOR SIX MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS

Albu, Lucian Liviu; Pelinescu, Elena - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2002) 1, pp. 114-116

The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, the monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate, for February 2002.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827584

SHORT-TERM FORECAST

Albu, Lucian Liviu; Pelinescu, Elena - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2002) 2, pp. 81-83

The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate for the first and second quarter of 2002.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827615

Macroeconomics Framework Considered Risk Factors: Based on Default Distance

Ye, Yonggang; Yang, Jiaqi; Song, Lingfeng; ZHang, Pei - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2013) 4, pp. 124-133

This paper adopts the macro-financial engineering method, taking risk factors into account to build a new framework for macroeconomic research in the IS-LM-BP model. Based on the balance of commodity markets, currency markets and the international balance of payments, the framework studies the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734649

Modeling Government Policies used for Sustaining Economic Growth in Romania

Stanica, Cristian Nicolae - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2011) 4, pp. 90-105

This paper presents some government policies scenarios and proposes the appropriate policies for stimulating the economic growth in Romania. The GDP dynamics, budgetary revenues, employment and wages are forecasted using a macroeconomic model of the Romanian economy. The direct effects of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533966

Using a Macroeconomic Model to Check Forecast Consistency

Stanica, Cristian Nicolae - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2013) 1, pp. 119-135

In macroeconomic modelling a central role is played by the forecast of state budget revenues and expenditures, since the financial-budgetary resources are the bases of income redistribution in the society and orientate economic growth. In view to achieve a trade-off between sustainable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643297