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Turkey was not affected by the financial crisis as much as the advanced economies and managed to rapidly exit the turmoil. The reasons behind the strong response and quick recovery of the Turkish economy were its low country risk and low currency risk premiums. This study shows the foundations...
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of the historical forecasting track record, but distinguish between a "safe" regime and a "downturn-risk" regime. To …
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capital account surplus because of the appreciation of the rupee. -- Forecasting Indian Economic Growth ; Economic Outlook and …
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made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
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of policy measures to get the Indian economy back on the path of sustained rapid and inclusive growth. -- Forecasting …
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Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out …-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK or overall European economies improves the forecasting ability of models based …
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This paper attempts to develop a financial vulnerability indicator for China as a barometer for the state of financial vulnerability in the Chinese financial market, possibly for real-time application. Twelve variables from different sectors are utilised to extract a common vulnerability...
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terms of the forecasting performance of the FCI. Additionally, Bayesian model averaging can improve in specific cases the …
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