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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a … uncertainty and disagreement among exchange rate forecasters and identify a strong relationship between them. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
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Expecting Brexit
Dhingra, Swati; Sampson, Thomas - 2022
and uncertainty shocks. Voting for Brexit had large negative effects on the UK economy between 2016 and 2019, leading to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806478
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Oil price drivers, geopolitical uncertainty and oil exporters' currencies
Akram, Qaisar Farooq - 2019
increases strengthen these currencies to different extents. In contrast, heightened geopolitical uncertainty and associated oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214320
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Exchange rate uncertainty and labour market adjustment under fixed and flexible exchange rates
Chen, Yu-Fu; Funke, Michael - 2002
The standard literature on working time has modelled the decisions of firms in a deterministic framework in which firms can choose between employment and overtime (given mandated standard hours). Contrary to this approach, we follow the real options approach, which allows us to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295518
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Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I
Lopez, Jose A.; Mitchener, Kris James - 2018
emerged in many European countries after World War I. We demonstrate that economic policy uncertainty was instrumental in … Hungary (GAPH) suffered from frequent uncertainty shocks – and correspondingly high levels of uncertainty – caused by …. In contrast, other European countries exhibited lower levels of measured uncertainty between 1919 and 1925, allowing them …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872123
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Expecting Brexit
Dhingra, Swati; Sampson, Thomas - 2022
and uncertainty shocks. Voting for Brexit had large negative effects on the UK economy between 2016 and 2019, leading to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177575
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Oil price drivers, geopolitical uncertainty and oil exporters' currencies
Akram, Qaisar Farooq - 2019
increases strengthen these currencies to different extents. In contrast, heightened geopolitical uncertainty and associated oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661547
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Public Debt Tipping Point Studies Ingnore How Exchange Rate Changes May Create A Financial Meltdown
Pope, Robin; Selten, Reinhard - 2011
In studies concluding that public debt may hamper GDP, the debt tipping effects are estimated as if there were a single world currency. This means that such studies ignore the likely biggest cause of changes in growth rates, namely damage from exchange rate liquidity shocks because we do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312982
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Exchange rate and political risks, again
Clare, Gregory; Gang, Ira N. - 2009
We examine the effects of exchange rate and political risks on foreign direct investment (FDI) for multinationals. Our strategy is to examine FDI by U.S. firms at two levels: in all industries and on the subset of only firms in manufacturing industries. When investing in developed economies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282834
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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a … uncertainty and disagreement among exchange rate forecasters and identify a strong relationship between them. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533201