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Conventional two-country RBC models interpret countercyclical net exports as reflecting, in large part, the dynamics of capital. I show that, quantitatively, theoretical economies rely on counterfactual terms of trade effects: trade fluctuations, on the contrary, are driven primarily by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069232
The main goal of this paper is to measure the welfare costs of business cycles in a production economy in which the representative agent has low risk aversion and - at the same time - the equity premium and the co-movements of aggregate quantities and market returns are comparable to what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069327
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090808
A narrowing of the U.S. current account deficit through exchange rate movements is likely to entail a substantial depreciation of the dollar, as stressed in research by Obstfeld and Rogoff. We assess how the adjustment is affected by the high degree of financial integration in the world economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051274
This paper explores the valuation channel of external adjustment in a two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE) with international equity trading. The theoretical model we set up matches key moments of the data for the United States at business cycle frequency at least as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069263
Backus, Kehoe, and Kydland (International Real Business Cycles, JPE, 100(4),1992) documented several discrepancies between the observed post-war business cycles of developed countries and the predictions of a two-country, complete-market model. The main discrepancy termed as the “quantity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027235
An unresolved issue in international macroeconomics is the apparent lack of risk-sharing across countries, which contradicts the prediction of models based on the assumption of complete markets. We asses the importance of international financial frictions in this issue by constructing an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027304
Standard international real business cycle models are generally unable to replicate the observed comovements of all the main aggregate variables: in particular, they generate low or negative international comovements in output, investment, and labour. I simulated a two-country, two-sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051194
The main contribution of this work is to provide a dynamic general equilibrium model of asset allocation, allowing to reconcile economic theory with several puzzling contradictions recently pointed out in the literature: (i) the asset allocation puzzle, (ii) the observed time-variation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970312