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What is the role of heterogenous house-price expectations for boom-bust cycles in the housing market? We exploit a … unique Dutch panel data set on households' house price expectations and their consumption, savings and housing choices for … the period 2003-2016. This period was characterized by a pronounced boom-bust cycle in the housing market. Conditioning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265571
Using a survey of Dutch households, we find that individuals who have experienced higher national unemployment rates over their lifetime save more and borrow less, after controlling for aggregate shocks, income, wealth, and demographics. These results are consistent with experience-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424305
This paper assesses the role of financial variables in real economic fluctuations, in view of analysing the link between financial cycles and business cycles at the global level. A Global VAR modelling approach, which has been proved suitable for modelling country or regional linkages, is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476350
During the last years, gravity equations have leapt from the trade literature over into the literature on financial markets. Martin and Rey (2004) were the first to provide a theoretical model for cross-border asset trade, yielding a structural gravity equation that could be tested empirically....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536009
Central bank announcements have strong effects on interest rates, but small or even counterintuitive effects on economic expectations. Based on tick-by-tick futures prices on bonds and stock prices, I confirm these seemingly puzzling results for the euro area and provide evidence that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265893
The literature has widely discussed the role of financial and economic uncertainty shocks for the macroeconomy. However, it has turned out to be difficult to isolate these shocks from financial market indicators and uncertainty proxies because any identifying restriction on their response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429635
This paper investigates the empirical significance of push- and pull factors of different types of capital flows - FDI, portfolio and "others" (including loans) - to emerging market and developing economies. Based on an extensive quarterly mixed time-series panel dataset for 32 emerging market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314337
The crucial issue, when assessing the going concern and recognizing deferred taxes, is making the correct judgement about the company's foreseeable future. In this paper, we describe an experiment which tests how accounting standards users make their judgements about deferred tax assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012236687
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