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The shape persistence of a crop yield probability density function (PDF) was studied by using two variants of the Visual Impact Method (VIM) to elicit subjective estimations by farmers. In one variant ten weights were used to describe the PDF and in the other variant the farmer chose the number...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220640
This paper presents a personal-computer assisted decision support system (DSS) which aims at aiding logistics managers in selecting the most appropriate transportation choice between private and common carriers. In contrast with a traditional stand-alone system, this DSS is designed for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009202241
This study attempts to show how a Kohonen map can be used to improve the temporal stability of the accuracy of a financial failure model. Most models lose a significant part of their ability to generalize when data used for estimation and prediction purposes are collected over different time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597588
Expert systems often employ a weight on rules to capture conditional probabilities. For example, in classic rule-based settings, Pr(h | e) = x is used to mean "If e is known to be true then conclude h is true with probability x." Further, other probability-based approaches, such as influence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009204001
We present a new framework for model management based on system concepts and theory. Underlying the framework is a set of meta-modeling concepts that are useful in capturing the semantics of the modeling process in a modeling environment. These concepts include the notions of a general-model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009204489
Многие из проблем, связанных с устойчивым развитием, можно проследить на пути производства и потребления, которое осуществляет современное общество....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011248838
В статье обоснована важность повышения качества решений стратегического характера для инновационного развития российской экономики за счет применения систем...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011219629
Представлен подход к учету неопределенностей критериев и весовых коэффициентов в рамках многокритериального анализа решений с использованием теории нечетких...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011227058
Decision-making is a crucial activity during the planning, design and operation of artefacts. To make a decision several alternatives must be evaluated and compared, which are tasks that require information, knowledge and expertise. A system that organises and manages the knowledge associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011010961
This paper examines a decision support system (DSS) for the appraisal of complex decision problems using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). The DSS makes use of a structured hierarchical approach featuring the multiplicative AHP also known as the REMBRANDT technique. The paper addresses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011051