This paper examines how the dynamics of information influences the dynamics of coordination in an environment with strategic complementarities and heterogeneous expectations. We consider a simple dynamic global game of regime change, in which the status quo is abandoned when a sufficiently large...

We augment a standard global coordination game along the lines of Morris and Shin (1998) by an asset market where prices are determined in a noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium. We study the implications of information aggregation through prices for equilibrium selection arguments in global...

The first generation models of currency crises have often been criticized because they predict that, in the absence of very large triggering shocks, currency crises should be predictable and associated with small devaluations. This paper shows that these features of first generation models are...

There prevails a view that the monetary policy in the Euro area has changed, especially after the European Monetary System (EMS) came into operation in 1979. The goal of this paper is to quantify (1) the extent to which policy regime has changed and (2) the counterfactual effects of such regimes...

This paper shows how expectations-driven contagion of currency crises can arise even if the currency market has a unique equilibrium when viewed in isolation. The model of Morris and Shin (1998) is extended to allow speculators to trade in a second currency market. If speculators believe that a...

Currency crises are usually associated with large real depreciations. In some countries real depreciations are perceived to be very costly("fear of floating"). In this paper we try to understand the reasons behind this fear. We first look at episodes of currency crises in the '90s and establish...

This paper studies a policy often used to defend a currency peg: raising short-term interest rates. The rationale for this policy is to stem demand for foreign reserves. Yet, this mechanism is absent from most monetary models. This paper develops a general equilibrium model with asset market...

We consider a simple model of market structure determination with discrete product differentiation and strategic interaction between firms. Our equilibrium concept is based on a set of relatively weak conditions that describe the profits of active and potential firms in a market. In our model,...