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This paper studies the interaction between monetary and fiscal authorities while investors are coordinating on a speculative attack. The authorities want to achieve specific targets for output and inflation but also to avoid a regime change (i.e. sovereign default). They use the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099682
originates in the signaling role of policy choices. A novel procedure of iterated elimination of non-equilibrium strategies is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010690396
originates in the signaling role of policy choices. A novel procedure of iterated elimination of non-equilibrium strategies is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010691962
This paper examines how the dynamics of information influences the dynamics of coordination in an environment with strategic complementarities and heterogeneous expectations. We consider a simple dynamic global game of regime change, in which the status quo is abandoned when a sufficiently large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069517
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051318
Market participants' risk attitudes, wealth and portfolio composition in°uence their positions in a pegged foreign currency and, therefore, may have important e®ects on the sustainability of currency pegs. We analyze such e®ects in a global game model of currency crises with continuous action...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071518
We augment a standard global coordination game along the lines of Morris and Shin (1998) by an asset market where prices are determined in a noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium. We study the implications of information aggregation through prices for equilibrium selection arguments in global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069465
This paper examines a global games model of speculative attacks in which speculators can choose to attack any one of a number of targets. In the canonical global games model of speculative attacks with a single target, it is well known that there exists a unique equilibrium that survives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010993559
The rst generation models of currency crises have often been criticized because they predict that, in the absence of very large triggering shocks, currency attacks should be predictable and lead to small devaluations. This paper shows that these features of rst generation models are not robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547109
The first generation models of currency crises have often been criticized because they predict that, in the absence of very large triggering shocks, currency attacks should be predictable and lead to small devaluations. This paper shows that these features of first generation models are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136490