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The fundamental problem of external validity is not to generalize from one experiment, so much as to experimentally test generalizable theories. That is, theories that explain the systematic variation of causal effects across contexts. Here we show how the graphical language of causal diagrams...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009789052
This paper analyzes data from 107 countries, spanning 1971-2009, and grouped into three income-based panels to determine the direction and sign of panel long-run causality between transport energy consumption per capita and real GDP per capita. The methods employed address heterogeneity and (at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062591
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John Snow and causal inference -- RStudio and R -- Regression and simulation -- Potential outcomes -- Causal graphs … -- Experiments -- Matching -- Instrumental Variables -- Regression Discontinuity Design -- Panel Data and fixed effects -- Difference … of cholera. The chapters that follow cover basic elements of R, regression, and an introduction to causality using the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014375030
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Applying a probabilistic causal approach, we define a class of time series causal models (TSCM) based on stationary Bayesian networks. A TSCM can be seen as a structural VAR identified by the causal relations among the variables. We classify TSCMs into observationally equivalent classes by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295294
This paper examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in case of Argentina's economy. Apply Granger causality and exogeneity tests based on VEC (vector error correction) models with monthly data covering the period 1993:1-2010:8. The results show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325080
We show that the main nonparametric identification finding of Abbring and Van den Berg (2003b, Econometrica) for the effect of a timing-chosen treatment on an event duration of interest does not hold. The main problem is that the identification is based on the competing-risks identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543606
The sustainability of the Nigerian fiscal deficit along with the role of the dynamics of government revenues and spending in adjusting the size of the deficit is examined using annual data from 1961 to 2014. After allowing for structural breaks, the study finds evidence of a cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487675
The importance of using natural experiments and experimental data in economic research has long been recognized. Yet, it is only in recent years that these approaches have become an integral part of the economist's analytical toolbox, thanks to the efforts of Meyer, Card, Peters, Krueger,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502792