This paper provides a survey of the methodologies for estimating the structural budget balance and the fiscal impulse, which highlights the recent international literature spread by European Commission studies (Havik et al., 2014; Carnot e Castro, 2015). From this theoretical background, the paper...

This text aims to qualify the debate on the need for fiscal adjustment in Brazil, showing that the trend that takes place - at this conjuncture, as in other past - a low quality setting, based on cutting investments and / or increased tax burden, it is almost inevitable in the face of public...

A new state debt cycle occurred mainly through external and contracted credit operations with federal banks from 2008, after a long period with few loans and debt stock fall. It is argued that exogenous macroeconomic factors were essential in the downward trend of the debt in the early 2000s,...

This study suggests an alternative approach, nested in exogeneity tests, to verify Ricardian Equivalence. The intuitive appeal and the sophisticated statistical method are the advantage of this new procedure. Furthermore, two others contributions are made: a) an explanation to the failure of...

This paper measures the public expenditure macroeconomic impacts (public consumption and public investment) in the more important Latin American economies by cointegrated autoregressive vectors. In the long run, public investments affect positively output and private consumption, although it has...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the role of fiscal policy sustainability over the determinants of domestic interest rate of a group of 23 emerging market countries in the period 1996-2008. Among the analyzed countries are: South Africa, Argentina, Brazil,Bulgaria, Chile, China,...

This paper analyses primary revenue, primary expenditure, public investment and public consumption from Brazilian federal government by Markov Switching Vector Autorregressive methodology (MS-VAR), investigating if these fiscal variables are procyclical or countercyclical in relation to Brazil...

This article estimates the stance of fiscal policy using the framework of conditional forecasting to evaluate the stance in Brazil since 1997. This indicator is measured as the deviation of forecast of the output gap conditional to the observed values and steady-state values of the instruments...

This work aims to analyze if the trajectory and composition of net and gross, public debt and external liabilities can hinder the growth of Brazilian GDP. The work concludes that fiscal indicators are more comfortable that external indicators. The net public debt is falling and less linked to...