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unhedged borrowers. This measure explicitly takes into account the indirect exchange rate risk that banks undertake when they … lend to borrowers that will not be able to repay in the event of a sharp depreciation. Such systemic risk taking is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854496
This paper develops a dynamic two-country neoclassical stochastic growth model with incomplete markets. Short-term credit flows can be excessive and reverse suddenly. The equilibrium outcome is constrained inefficient due to pecuniary externalities. First, an undercapitalized country borrows too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145431
This paper provides a framework to understand debt deleveraging in a group of financially integrated countries. During an episode of international deleveraging, world consumption demand is depressed and the world interest rate is low, reflecting a high propensity to save. If exchange rates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196040
these facts, we propose a simple model of sovereign risk in which debt can be traded in secondary markets. The model has two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084507
of change of nominal depreciation. We examine the composition of the debt as well as its level, and a variety of other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789137
between international financial market structure and capital flows. This paper constructs a model in which the composition of … portfolio in face of real and nominal risk. Current account deficits are financed by net capital flows which reflect … risk premiums such that the rate of return on a debtor country's gross liabilities is lower than the return on its gross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123673
The early 1980s marked the onset of two striking features of the current world macro-economy: the fall in US business cycle volatility (the “great moderation”) and the large and persistent US external imbalance. In this paper we argue that an external imbalance is a natural consequence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124267
This paper analyzes the impact of terms of trade and risk-premium shocks on a small open economy in an intertemporal … the terms of trade coupled with a permanent reduction in the risk-premium leads to pro-industrialization and a real … Dutch disease story. It occurs because reduction in the risk-premium reduces the costs of the production in the economy, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504657
We present a simple model of sovereign debt crises in which a country chooses its optimal mix of short and long-term debt contracts subject to standard contracting frictions: the country cannot commit to repay its debts nor to a specific path of future debt issues, and contracts cannot be made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145424
the European monetary integration in late 1990s, and (ii) - following the heightened default risk of Greece - the sudden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186628