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A new macroeconomic evaluation of EU enlargement is undertaken with a world macroeconomic model taking into account all possible integration effects: trade effects, Single Market effects, factor movements (FDI, migration) and the costs of enlargement. Due to the differences in size of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435067
A new macroeconomic evaluation of EU enlargement is undertaken with a world macroeconomic model taking into account all possible integration effects: trade effects, Single Market effects, factor movements (FDI, migration) and the costs of enlargement. Due to the differences in size of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491979
This study examines the economic globalization and the shadow economy nexus in Egypt. Using time series data from 1976 to 2013, the impulse response analysis shows that the response of the shadow economy in Egypt to positive shocks in economic globalization is negative and statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657145
While traditional empirical models using determinants like size and trade costs are able to predict RTA formation reasonably well, we demonstrate that allowing for machine detected non-linear patterns helps to improve the predictive power of RTA formation substantially. We employ machine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657939
This study examines the economic globalization and the shadow economy nexus in Egypt. Using time series data from 1976 to 2013, the impulse response analysis shows that the response of the shadow economy in Egypt to positive shocks in economic globalization is negative and statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011645904
out-of-sample forecasting performance. Benchmarking our SRV forecasts against random walk and conventional linear model … forecasts provides evidence for the notably superior forecasting accuracy of SRV-based models. In contrast to routinely used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182398
While traditional empirical models using determinants like size and trade costs are able to predict RTA formation reasonably well, we demonstrate that allowing for machine detected non-linear patterns helps to improve the predictive power of RTA formation substantially. We employ machine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602123
The Eastern enlargement of the European Union (EU) is likely to give a further boost to trade and capital flows, yet empirical evidence on the possible magnitudes is still scarce. This paper uses four different datasets to estimate the determinants of international asset holdings and trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011472489
This paper evaluates the effect of the EU Eastern enlargement in May 2004 on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of border regions in the old member states. The effect is identified with the Synthetic Control Method (SCM) that allows the evaluation of the enlargement effect in a causal way. Results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011574072
We study the effects of market integration on manufacturing emission intensities of CO 2, SO x, and NO x. For this, we analyse the 2004 and 2007 EU enlargements in a sub-sectoral panel with data on almost all EU member states from 1995 to 2015. We pay close attention to relevant channels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259530