Showing 1 - 10 of 24
positive levels of search costs. Considering an explicit learning scheme the paper shows that convergence of prices to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005839191
We present a decision theoretic framework in which agents are learning about market behavior and that provides … microfoundations for models of adaptive learning. Agents are 'internally rational', i.e., maximize discounted expected utility under … discounted sum of dividends. As a result, learning about price behavior affects market outcomes, while learning about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009220233
beliefs about price and dividend behavior to deviate slightly from rational expectations priors. Learning about stock price … system of beliefs and other model features. We depart from previous studies of asset prices under learning in that agents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322528
Consumption-based asset pricing models with time-separable preferences can generate realistic amounts of stock price volatility if one allows for small deviations from rational expectations. We consider rational investors who entertain subjective prior beliefs about price behavior that are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165807
Consumption based asset pricing models with time-separable preferences can generate realistic amounts of stock price volatility if one allows for small deviations from rational expectations. We consider rational investors who entertain subjective prior beliefs about price behavior that are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166116
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market troughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194310
the help of econometric models. Agents use least squares learning to estimate two competing models of which one is … consistent with rational expectations once learning is complete. When past performance governs the choice of forecast model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958541
time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns … restrict consideration to learning schemes that imply only small deviations from full rationality. The findings are robust to … the particular learning rule used and the value chosen for the single free parameter introduced by learning, provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604908
the help of econometric models. Agents use least squares learning to estimate two competing models of which one is … consistent with rational expectations once learning is complete. When past performance governs the choice of forecast model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311996
We present a decision theoretic framework with agents that are learning about the behavior of market determined … about equilibrium prices, so that learning about price behavior, as in Adam, Marcet and Nicolini (2008), is fully consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577809