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This paper studies the concept of instantaneous arbitrage in continuous time and its relation to the instantaneous CAPM …. Absence of instantaneous arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a trading strategy which satisfies the CAPM beta pricing … relation in place of the market. Thus the difference between the arbitrage argument and the CAPM argument in Black and Scholes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894845
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
This paper addresses questions regarding the dimensionality of the stochastic discount factor and the selection of the best factors that enter it. We analyze these questions theoretically and empirically with a novel methodology which performs both (i) estimation of factor loadings and (ii) best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350213
We document that properly scaled deviations from put-call parity estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) accurately, by means of a non-parametric theoretically founded identification strategy. The required conditions are that our estimator predicts the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852972
Term premiums, defined as the excess return of long-dated contracts over short-dated contracts, in commodity futures are strongly predictable, both in the time series and in the cross section, by roll yield spreads. Strategies that exploit this predictability show sizable Sharpe ratios and are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959999
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide the first description of the cross-section of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
We measure message processing time or latency inside an automated trading platform. We show that latency is a random variable that has a strong predictive power over both volatility and the volatility of volatility of a highly liquid asset over and above changes in message traffic. We argue that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030845
In this article, we propose an equilibrium pricing rule for the contingent claims by applying the economic premium principle initiated by Buhlmann (1980). The derivative markets in our model are over-the-counter (OTC) markets and have counterparty risks. We reconstruct the economic premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999558
When two investors agree to disagree on market prospects and bet against each other, both expect to profit from their trades. Hence, an increase in disagreement leads to higher perceived trading profits and lower marginal utilities for both investors, so disagreement betas can affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936009
We develop a continuous-time intertemporal CAPM model that allows for risky beta exposure, which we explicitly specify. In the model, the expected return on a stock depends on beta's co-movement with market variance and more generally with the stochastic discount factor and deviates from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899147