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We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...
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We measure the ability of professional investment managers in timing cashflow vs. discount-rate news, the two … components of market returns. We find that the average U.S. equity mutual fund exhibits cashflow-timing skills of 2.12/year, but … discount-rate timing of -0.84/year; further, cashflow-timing skills (but not discount-rate timing skills) strongly persist over …
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firms have lower cash-flow beta and higher discount-rate beta than firms with high leverage. Although cash-flow beta …
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