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Der seit der Finanzkrise steile Anstieg der Zinsdifferenzen zwischen europäischen Staatsanleihen bringt mehrere Mitgliedsländer der europäischen Währungsunion (EWU) unter erhebliche Refinanzierungsschwierigkeiten und wirft die Frage nach den Ursachen auf. Dieser Bericht fasst die Ergebnisse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602283
The current European Debt Crisis has led to a reinforced effort to identify the sources of risk and their influence on yields of European Government Bonds. Until now, the potentially nonlinear influence and the theoretical need for interactions reflecting flighttoquality and flight-to-liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771035
We revisit the discussion of market sentiment in European sovereign bonds using a correlation analysis toolkit based on influence networks and hierarchical clustering. We focus on three case studies of political interest. In the case of the 2016 Brexit referendum, the market showed negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863752
From 2004 to 2015, the market perception of the sovereign risks of the euro area government bonds experienced several different phases, reflected in a clear time structure of the correlation matrix between the yield changes. “Core” and “peripheral” bonds cluster in a bloc-like structure,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924391
From 2004 to 2015, the market perception of the sovereign risks of the Euro area government bonds experienced several different phases, reflected in a clear time structure of the correlation matrix between the yield changes. "Core" and "peripheral" bonds cluster in a bloc-like structure, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971807
In this paper we develop a joint non-parametric approach to the problem of the decomposition of bond yields and CDS spreads. The proposed approach is essentially an infinite-dimensional modification of the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework and is general enough to capture even very non-trivial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085033
The global financial crisis rapidly spread across borders and financial markets, and also distressed EU bond markets. The crisis did not hit all markets in the same way. We measure the strength and direction of linkages between 16 EU sovereign bond markets using a factor-augmented version of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056837
This paper examines the determinants of cross-platform arbitrage profits. We develop a structural model that enables us … to decompose the likelihood of an arbitrage opportunity into three distinct factors: the fixed cost to trade the … corroborate strongly the predictions from the structural model. The event of a cross market arbitrage opportunity has a certain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038779
only marginally compensated for the risks of risk arbitrage in the European strips market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141881
We document that the yield-to-maturity of an USD-denominated bond, once the foreign exchange rate risk is hedged, could be higher by more than 150 basis points than a comparable EUR-denominated bond issued by the same Euro area country between 2008-2013. Using panel and matching techniques, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064192