[...]In this article, we assess the evidence in support of a bubblein U.S. home prices and discuss whether a severe decline inthese prices is likely. We also examine the effects of a steep dropin home prices on the broader national economy. Examining the possible effects of a severe decline in...

[...]We also concentrate our survey on literature that testseconomic hypotheses within samples of U.S. firms. However,we believe that much of our discussion can be generalized tofirms throughout the world. Bushman and Smith (2003)present a broad overview of how differences in...

[...]In this article, we study the influence of market liquidity anddynamic trading strategies on the short-run dynamics of theyield curve. Specifically, we focus on the recent behavior ofintermediate-maturity interest rates for evidence of marketliquidity effects arising from the hedging of...

[...]It seems clear that the Federal Reserve’s policy behavior overthe 1979:4-1982:3 period (which I refer to as the “earlyVolcker” period) differed from that of other periods.1 Thestated policy of the Federal Reserve during this period was tofocus more on monetary aggregates than it had...

As derivatives markets have grown, thescope of financial intermediation hasevolved beyond credit intermediation tocover a wide variety of risks. Financialderivatives allow dealers to intermediate the risk managementneeds of their customers by unbundling customerexposures and reallocating them...

[...]This article significantly advances the literature onmortgage prepayments by introducing quantitative measuresof individual homeowner credit histories to the loan-levelanalysis of the factors influencing the probability that a homeownerwill refinance. In addition to credit histories, we...

[...]Derivatives contracts are especially efficient vehiclesfor unbundling the price risks embodied in assets andliabilities.2 The contracts allow users to trade away therisks they do not wish to be exposed to while retainingother risk exposures. For example, in a financing relationshipbetween a...

Our main goal is to investigate the question of which interest-rate options valuationmodels are better suited to support the management of interest-rate risk. Weuse the German market to test seven spot-rate and forward-rate models with oneand two factors for interest-rate warrants for the period...

Das letzte Projekt dieses Arbeitskreises "Geschäftspolitische und organisatorische Aspekte des Kreditmanagements" behandelte die mit der absatzbezogenen Kreditvergabe von Unternehmen zusammenhängenden Fragen. Bei diesen Untersuchungen stieß der Arbeitskreis auf den überraschenden Hinweis,...

We describe a behavior of a central bank when its measures of current inflation and outputare subject to measurement errors, in a framework of optimizing models with nominal pricestickiness. In our model, a central bank sets the interest rate equal to its current estimate of theso-called...