The term structure of American interest rates is filtered to reduce the influence of cross correlations and auto correlations on its factors. A three-factor model is fitted to the filtered data. Contrary to most studies of the term structure on monthly data, performing statistical tests we...

We propose an affine term structure model which accommodates non-linearities in the drift and volatility function of the short-term interest rate. Such non-linearities are a consequence of discrete beta-distributed regime shifts constructed on multiple thresholds. We derive iterative closed form...

This paper analyzes the term structure of interest rates in an exchange-only Lucas (1978) economy where consumers learn about a stochastic growth rate through observations of the endowment process and an external public signal. We allow for deluded consumers, who exaggerate the degree of...