Showing 1 - 10 of 148
En este documento se estima un modelo econométrico que descompone la serie de inflación trimestral anualizada entre un componente transitorio y otro permanente, este último inducido probablemente por las variaciones en la meta del Banco Central. Se concluye que la persistencia inflacionaria...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765718
En este documento se evalúan las diferentes formas de medición de la persistencia estadística y los distintos factores estructurales que podrían explicarla. Se presenta una medición de la persistencia estadística de la inflación y de la brecha de inflación en Colombia para el período...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008672278
different measures of annual inflation in Colombia during this decade for monthly data. The STAR-type nonlinearities are … asymmetric for inflation computed as the variation of CPI while for (a measure of) core inflation are symmetric. Thus, LSTAR and … ESTAR models were, respectively, estimated. No evidence of nonlinearity is found for traded goods inflation. Given the local …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783906
En este trabajo se cuantifica el contenido informativo de los Índices de Confianza utilizados por el Banco de la República en la elaboración de su Informe sobre Inflación. Se estudian las frecuencias a las que ocurren sus variaciones y se comparan con las frecuencias de medidas similares de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009131585
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of … technique for series integrated of order one. The empirical results of Colombian inflation show that the Bayesian forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548325
En este documento se establecen algunos hechos estilizados acerca del comportamiento de los precios regulados en Colombia. Se analiza el grado de rigidez de los precios en diferentes categorías de productos, con un énfasis particular en los precios regulados. En el documento se establece que...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783892
This paper contains the results of a non parametric multi-step ahead forecast for the monthly Colombian inflation …, using Mean conditional Kernel estimation over inflation changes, with no inclusion of exogenous variables. The results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783908
Many developing countries are adopting inflation targeting regimes to guide monetary policy decisions. In such … countries the share of food in the consumption basket is high and policy makers often employ total inflation (as opposed to core … inflation) to set inflationary targets. Therefore, central banks need to develop reliable models to forecast food inflation. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854665
In this paper we study the effect of monetary policy shocks on commodity prices. While most of the literature has found that expansionary shocks have a positive effect on aggregate price indices, we study the effect on individual prices of a sample of four commodities. This set of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009404551
This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel’s hypothesis (1986-2006): "low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542684