Showing 1 - 10 of 17
Estimating potential output and the output gap - the difference between actual output and its potential - is important for the proper conduct of monetary policy. However, the measurement and interpretation of potential output, and hence the output gap, is fraught with uncertainty, since it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253083
The author surveys recent articles on the costs and benefits of price-level targeting versus inflation targeting … how price-level targeting affects the short-run trade-off between output and inflation variability by influencing … expectations of future inflation. The author looks at the implications of this argument for assigning an objective based on price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162379
2001-06 period, the direct effect of consumer goods imported from China is estimated to have reduced the inflation rate by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808266
Measures of core inflation enable a central bank to distinguish price movements that are transitory and generated by … core inflation measure called the “trimmed mean” that excludes components with exceptionally large price changes at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003765
ToTEM – the Bank of Canada’s principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy – is extended to include inventories. In the model, firms accumulate inventories of finished goods for their role in facilitating the demand for goods. The model is successful in matching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484232
Inventory investment is an important component of the Canadian business cycle. Despite its small average size – less than 1 per cent of output -- it exhibits volatile procyclical fluctuations, accounting for almost one-third of output variance. Procyclicality of inventories is somewhat smaller...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008539769
The author constructs a measure of core inflation using a structural vector autoregression containing oil-price growth …, output growth, and inflation. This "macro-founded" measure of inflation forecasts total inflation at least as well as other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673252
global inflation. The process of globalization has motivated much debate over whether global factors have become more … important in driving the inflation process. Since commodity prices respond to global demand and supply conditions, they are a … potential channel through which foreign shocks could influence domestic inflation. The author assesses whether commodity prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808269
of inflation lower than 2 per cent, and whether economic welfare might be improved by moving from an inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808271
The Bank of Canada Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM) is used to examine the effect of various types of discretionary fiscal policies on different regions of the globe. The BoC-GEM is a microfounded dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium global model with six regions, multiple sectors, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631206