Showing 1 - 10 of 24
Estimating potential output and the output gap - the difference between actual output and its potential - is important for the proper conduct of monetary policy. However, the measurement and interpretation of potential output, and hence the output gap, is fraught with uncertainty, since it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253083
The author surveys recent articles on the costs and benefits of price-level targeting versus inflation targeting … how price-level targeting affects the short-run trade-off between output and inflation variability by influencing … expectations of future inflation. The author looks at the implications of this argument for assigning an objective based on price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162379
This paper surveys the empirical literature on the benefits of low inflation emphasizing contributions since 1990. It … at the costs of inflation, or the benefits of price stability, in the context of four themes: inflation creates … uncertainty about the future; there are costs of having to cope with inflation; inflation affects equity and fairness; and 'living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673238
2001-06 period, the direct effect of consumer goods imported from China is estimated to have reduced the inflation rate by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808266
Measures of core inflation enable a central bank to distinguish price movements that are transitory and generated by … core inflation measure called the “trimmed mean” that excludes components with exceptionally large price changes at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003765
ToTEM – the Bank of Canada’s principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy – is extended to include inventories. In the model, firms accumulate inventories of finished goods for their role in facilitating the demand for goods. The model is successful in matching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484232
Inventory investment is an important component of the Canadian business cycle. Despite its small average size – less than 1 per cent of output -- it exhibits volatile procyclical fluctuations, accounting for almost one-third of output variance. Procyclicality of inventories is somewhat smaller...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008539769
The author constructs a measure of core inflation using a structural vector autoregression containing oil-price growth …, output growth, and inflation. This "macro-founded" measure of inflation forecasts total inflation at least as well as other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673252
In this paper, the authors examine how weel the Hodrick-Prescott filter (HP) and the band-pass filter recently proposed by Baxter and King (BK) extract the business-cycle component of macroeconomic time series.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162367
Measures have been taken by the Bank of Canada to increase the transparency of Canadian monetary policy. This paper examines whether the greater transparency has improved financial markets’ understanding of the conduct of monetary policy. In theory, it should result in reduced conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808258