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sticky-price version of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve does a good job of approximating US inflation dynamics. However … to the entire underlying model of the NKPC. Thus I conclude that the NKPC fails to give a sound explanation of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003777825
inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
Two Bayesian sampling schemes are outlined to estimate a K-state Markov switching model with time-varying transition probabilities. Data augmentation for the multinomial logit model of the transition probabilities is alternatively based on a random utility and a difference in random utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
We present a framework for interpretation of the empirical results of New Keynesian models of inflation dynamics. Both … literature. For example, we show that the unit-root form of non-stationary may be implied for inflation even though the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009301212
This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230113
this policy strategy could have largely prevented the post-pandemic inflation episode. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632303
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. -- Global excess … liquidity ; euro area ; inflation ; monetary policy ; interest rate channel ; forecasting accuracy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726327
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit … inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in persistence, which decomposes the sample information between adjacent I(0 …) and I(1) periods. We find that (1) With very few exceptions, inflation around the world rejects a unit root, (2) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821061