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Predicting Bankruptcy Using Neural Networks in the Current Financial Crisis : A Study of U.S. Commercial Banks
López-Iturriaga, Félix J. - 2010
We develop a model of neural networks to study the bankruptcy of U.S. banks. We provide a new model to predict bank defaults some time before the bankruptcy occurs, taking into account the specific features of the current financial crisis. Based on data from the Federal Deposit Insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135648
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Development of a financial health indicator based on companies' annual accounts
Vivet, David - 2011
This document describes the development of a financial health indicator based on companies' financial statements. This indicator is conceived as a weighted combination of variables, which is obtained through a model discriminating between failing firms and non-failing firms. The definition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596313
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A dialogue on the costs and benefits of automatic stays for derivatives and repurchase agreements
Duffie, Darrell; Skeel, David - 2012 - Last rev.: March 04, 2012
For nearly two years, the two of us have had a running discussion of the costs and benefits of automatic stays in bankruptcy for qualified financial contracts (QFCs) such as derivatives and repurchase agreements, particularly those held by systemically important major dealer banks. Under current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009504439
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Are Female CEOs Associated With Lower Insolvency Risk? Evidence From the U.S. Property-Casualty Insurance Industry
Cheng, Jiang; Li, Jing - 2023
This paper investigates the relationship between female CEOs and insolvency risk of U.S. property-casualty insurance … companies. We show that female CEOs are associated with lower insurer insolvency propensity, higher z-score, and lower standard … difference-in-difference approach. Furthermore, we find that the impact of female CEOs on insurer insolvency risk is moderated by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349797
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Default Risk in Corporate Yield Spreads
Dionne, Georges - 2010
An important research question examined in the credit risk literature focuses on the proportion of corporate yield spreads attributed to default risk. This topic is reexamined in the light of the different issues associated with the computation of transition and default probabilities obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012717692
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Private Equity and the Resolution of Financial Distress
Hotchkiss, Edith S. - 2020
We examine the role private equity (PE) firms play in the resolution of financial distress using a sample of 2,151 firms that borrow in the leveraged loan market between 1997 and 2010. Controlling for leverage, PE-backed firms are no more likely to default than other leveraged loan borrowers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857451
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The Performance of Acquisitions by High Default Risk Bidders
Bruyland, Evy - 2019
We investigate the takeover strategies of high default risk acquirers and their value impact. We find that these bidders select bigger, less profitable and unrelated targets, pursue transactions during recessions, and pay with shares by offering target shareholders high premiums. Their long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894337
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Forecasting Corporate Defaults in the German Stock Market
Mertens, Richard - 2016
We estimate and test several default risk models using new and unique data on corporate defaults in the German stock market. While defaults were extremely rare events in the 1990s, they have been a characteristic feature of the German stock market since the early 2000s. We apply the structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983935
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Zombie Lending to U.S. Firms
Favara, Giovanni; Minoiu, Camelia; Perez-Orive, Ander - 2022
We provide the first empirical evidence that zombie firms---highly levered firms with weak growth prospects---are not a prominent feature of the U.S. economy and that U.S. banks do not lend to such firms. Using confidential supervisory data on firm-bank relationships during the 2014--2019...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406636
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Predicting Bankruptcy via Cross-Sectional Earnings Forecasts
Hess, Dieter - 2019
We develop a model to predict bankruptcies, exploiting that negative book equity is a strong indicator of financial distress. Accordingly, our key predictor of bankruptcy is the probability that future losses will deplete a firm's book equity. To calculate this probability, we use earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899828