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seek to preserve financial stability and ensure continuity of critical functions. The same cannot be said of insolvency …, insolvency law has largely remained microprudential and reactive.Admittedly, unlike bank failures, corporate insolvencies usually … trigger contagion and cause disruptive consequences. Insofar as insolvency of SNFEs raises concerns common to bank failures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833155
In this contribution, we exploit machine learning techniques to predict the risk of failure of firms. Then, we propose an empirical definition of zombies as firms that persist in a status of high risk, beyond the highest decile, after which we observe that the chances to transit to lower risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835532
Employees bear significant costs in bankruptcy. Theoretical models predict they will accept lower wages in the face of financial distress to avoid such costs. Using a natural experiment, I test this theory and find an exogenous increase in default risk causes a decrease in employee wages. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837496
We estimate the costs of financial distress prior to default (pre-default costs) separately from the loss incurred at default (the loss given default) using a dynamic trade-off model of capital structure. We document that pre-default costs are on average equal to 6.5% of firm value per year. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839730
We investigate how idiosyncratic lender shocks impact corporate investment. Lenders with recent default experience write stricter loan contracts, leading to a reduction in real investment for borrowing firms. The decline in investment is not attributable to loan riskiness, borrower's agency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839813
Objective - This research analyses whether there was a change in bankruptcy risk of companies in Indonesia for the period between 2015–2018, during the first presidency period of Joko Widodo, when Indonesia experienced tremendous dynamic economic, political and technological change. Previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842095
Distance to default (DTD) is a strong predictor of default risk derived from structural models. This paper specifies a stressed version of DTD ("stressed DTD'') to measure time-varying corporate default risk in the event that a systematic stress scenario occurs. Compared with the ordinary DTD,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842858
Several studies investigated the predictability of financial distress. With this paper, we analyse the ability of Integrated Rating model to anticipate potential corporate crisis. In particular, we study bankrupt companies of four European Countries (Czech Republic, Spain, Italy, France,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956057
This article analyzes the importance of supply-side fluctuations for corporate hedging. To establish a causal link, we exploit a regulatory change that allows derivatives counterparties to circumvent the Bankruptcy Code's automatic stay: the Safe Harbor Reform of 2005. Following the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900744
The 2005 Bankruptcy Reform puts derivatives contracts into an effective “super-senior” status. It is intended to provide stability to the derivative markets and reduce systemic risk, however, we find that it has negative impact on derivative-using firms' borrowings. The theoretical model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901134