This paper proposes a three-equations empirical representation of the channels linking capital account liberalization (CAL) and economic growth. System estimates indicate that CAL determines growth through financial development and openness to trade. The residual effect of CAL on growth after...

This paper proposes a three-equations empirical representation of the channels linking capital account liberalization (CAL) and economic growth. System estimates indicate that CAL determines growth through financial development and openness to trade. The residual effect of CAL on growth after...

Using annual data for Colombia over the last thirty years and a new battery of econometric techniques, we test opposing theories that explain macroeconomic fluctuations: The neoclassical synthesis, which posits that, in the presence of temporary price rigidity, an unanticipated monetary...

Sadly, our previous compilation of VoxEU columns, ‘The First Global Financial Crisis of the 21st Century,’ was not the last word on the subject. Since the publication of that volume in June 2008, the global crisis has both deepened and widened. The industrial world has seen the largest bank...

We have now witnessed more than half a decade of relatively heavy capital inflows to a large group of highly heterogeneous developing countries and economies in transition in Asia, Eastern Europe, the Former Soviet Union, Latin America, and parts of Africa and the Middle East--we have also...

In this paper we investigate the different nuances of India’s capital account management through empirical analyses as well as descriptive discussions. In particular we study the evolution of the capital control regime in India since 1991, and explore the rationale behind liberalizing certain...

This paper analyzes the problems of creating and expanding national macroeconomic policy space and economic governance for the developing countries in particular within a framework of overall global and regional financial architectures. It develops a critical constructivist evolutionary theory...

Increased integration with global financial markets has amplified the complexity of macroeconomic management in India. The diverse objectives of a robust growth rate, healthy current account deficit, competitive exchange rate, adequate external capital to finance investment, moderate inflation,...

This contribution is an analysis and a comment of the Final Remarks of the Governor of the Bank of Italy and his directions of economic policy for the Italian economy. An economy that has a high unemployment and also supports a public debt that, despite the recent efforts of fiscal...

This paper proposed a new optimal design of Early Warning Systems (EWS) to detect early warning signals of an impending financial crisis. The problem of EWS was formulated from a policy maker's perspective. Hence the probability threshold was obtained by minimizing the policy maker's welfare...