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opportunities and product innovations. The search for future discontinuities and trends using external knowledge sources enables … search to detect future discontinuities and trends in the environment. To address this knowledge gap, dimensions of search … benefit from different external search strategies to identify discontinuities and trends in the environment. The paper closes …
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Expert elicitations of future energy technology costs can improve energy policy design by explicitly characterizing uncertainty. However, the recent proliferation of expert elicitation studies raises questions about the reliability and comparability of the results. In this paper, we standardize...
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Many predictions and conclusions in climate change literature have been made on the basis of theoretical analyses and quantitative models that assume exogenous technological change. One may wonder if those policy prescriptions hold in the more realistic case of endogenously evolving...
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