We propose generalized DWH specification tests which simultaneously compare three or more likelihood-based estimators in multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic dynamic regression models. Our tests are useful for Garch models and in many empirically relevant macro and finance applications...

Über die Vorteilhaftigkeit von Copula-GARCH-Modellen im finanzwirtschaftlichen Risikomanagement Im Fokus des vorliegenden Beitrages stehen zwei Fragen: Wann sollte ein Copula-GARCH-Modell einem korrelationsbasierten Modell vorgezogen werden? Und welche parametrische Copula-Form sollte in diesem...

The objective of this research is to introduce in literature new measures of accuracy for point forecasts (radical of order n of the mean of squared errors, mean for the difference between each predicted value and the mean of the effective values, ratio of radicals of sum of squared errors...

In this paper, we conduct uniform inference of two widely used versions of the Phillips curve, specifically the random-walk Phillips curve and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). For both specifications, we propose a potentially time-varying natural unemployment (NAIRU) to address the...

This paper improves a kernel-smoothed test of symmetry through combining it with a new class of asymmetric kernels called the generalized gamma kernels. It is demonstrated that the improved test statistic has a normal limit under the null of symmetry and is consistent under the alternative. A...

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the sequential empirical process and the sequential empirical copula process, both constructed from residuals of multivariate stochastic volatility models. Applications for the detection of structural changes and specification tests of the...

We propose a quantification of the p-p plot that assigns equal weight to all distances between the respective distributions: the surface between the p-p plot and the diagonal. This surface is labeled the Harmonic Weighted Mass (HWM) index. We introduce the diagonal-deviation (d-d) plot that...

The usual t test, the t test based on heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) covariance matrix estimators, and the heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) test are three statistics that are widely used in applied econometric work. The use of these significance tests...

The goal of this paper is to search for conclusive evidence against the stationarity of the global air surface temperature, which is one of the most important indicators of climate change. For this purpose, possible long-range dependencies are investigated in the frequency-domain. Since...

This study compares the size and power of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) tests that are robust to the presence of a misspecified conditional mean. The approaches employed are based on two nonparametric regressions for the conditional mean: an ARCH test with a...