Showing 1 - 10 of 73
This paper proposes two simple tests that are based on certain time domain properties of I(d) processes. First, if a time series follows an I(d) process, then each subsample of the time series also follows an I(d) process with the same value of d. Second, if a time series follows an I(d)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688497
We propose several Lagrange Multiplier tests of logit and probit models, which may be inexpensively computed by artificial linear regressions. These may be used to test for omitted variables and heteroskedasticity. We argue that one of these tests is likely to have better small-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688472
Associated with every popular nonlinear estimation method is at least one "artificial" linear regression. We define an artificial regression in terms of three conditions that it must satisfy. Then we show how artificial regressions can be useful for numerical optimization, testing hypotheses,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005653239
This paper analyzes the higher-order properties of nested pseudo-likelihood (NPL) estimators and their practical implementation for parametric discrete Markov decision models in which the probability distribution is defined as a fixed point. We propose a new NPL estimator that can achieve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688568
In an important generalization of zero frequency autoregressive unit root tests, Hylleberg, Engle, Granger, and Yoo (1990) developed regression-based tests for unit roots at the seasonal frequencies in quarterly time series. We develop likelihood ratio tests for seasonal unit roots and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550315
We calculate, by simulations, numerical asymptotic distribution functions of likelihood ratio tests for fractional unit roots and cointegration rank. Because these distributions depend on a real-valued parameter b which must be estimated, simple tabulation is not feasible. Partly due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492935
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the tests of Hansen (1991) to detect structural breaks in cointegrated relations using Monte Carlo methods. The evaluation takes place within the linear quadratic model. The evidence for a single regressor suggests that the test have proper size and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688183
In this paper we examine tests for cointegration which allow for the possibility of regime shifts. We propose augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips type tests designed to test the null of no cointegration against the alternative of cointegration in the presence of a possible regime shift....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688254
This paper develops a new test of orthogonality based on a zero restriction on the covariance between the dependent variable and the predictor. The test provides a useful alternative to regression-based tests when conditioning variables have roots close or equal to unity. In this case standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688521
[The original version of this paper appeared as a University of California San Diego working paper in 1990 but has since disappeared from the web. This version includes a new appendix.] This paper provides tables of critical values for some popular tests of cointegration and unit roots. Although...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671794