In this study, a market liquidity index for Turkey is built, which presents information about the course of the liquidity in the financial markets. Moreover, the impact of the 2007-2009 global financial crisis on Turkey's financial system is examined by comparing the index to VIX, a risk...

We present results from an extensive study on the benefits of rolling window and model averaging. Building on the recent work on rolling window averaging by Pesaran et al (2010, 2009) and on exchange rate forecasting by Molodtsova and Papell (2009), we explore whether rolling window averaging...

Few authors have studied, either asymptotically or in finite samples, the size and power of seasonal unit root tests when the data generating process [DGP] is a non-stationary alternative aside from the seasonal random walk. In this respect, Ghysels, lee and Noh (1994) conducted a simulation...

In this paper we use a single-equation time series approach to examine the macroeconomic determinants of banks’ loan quality in Italy in the past twenty years, as measured by the ratio of new bad loans to the outstanding amount of loans in the previous period. We analyse the quality of loans...

Few authors have studied, either asymptotically or in finite samples, the size and power of seasonal unit root tests when the data generating process [DGP] is a non-stationary alternative aside from the seasonal random walk. In this respect, Ghysels, lee and Noh (1994) conducted a simulation...

Se propone un modelo de rezagos distribuidos para determinar las variables que afectan las primas de riesgo soberano para Colombia, trabajando con datos mensuales para el periodo enero 2002 a marzo 2005; y datos de abril 2005 a noviembre 2005 como datos out-of-the-sample para verificar la capacidad...

A stable money demand relationship is one of the pre-conditions for a successful monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB). In this contribution we examine the stability of money demand in the euro area by taken the period of the financial crisis into account. Our results indicate that...

The literature on exchange rate forecasting is vast. Many researchers have tested whether implications of theoretical economic models or the use of advanced econometric techniques can help explain future movements in exchange rates. The results of the empirical studies for major world currencies...

We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...

The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of...