The following article develops a simultaneous multi-factor model for defaults and recoveries. Applying this model, risk parameters can be forecast using systematic and idiosyncratic risk fac-tors and their implied correlations. The theoretical framework is accompanied by an empirical analysis in...

We study the strategic asset allocation for an international investor. The recent empirical evidence on the partial predictability of asset returns has renewed theacademic and practical interest in strategic asset allocation. To model time varying returns on stocks, we use a Gaussian...

In this paper we show how cross-sectional correlations between Private Equity (PE) and Public Market Equity (PM) returns can be approximated, resolving the lack of time series PE data. Based on a sample comprising 2,380 realized PE projects, we observe low crosssectional correlations between PE...

This paper extends the approach of measuring and stress-testing the systemic risk of a banking sector in Huang, Zhou, and Zhu (2009) to identifying various sources of financial instability and to allocating systemic risk to individual financial institutions. The systemic risk measure, defined as...

Credit risk is an important issue in many nance areas, such as the determinationof cost of capital, the valuation of corporate bonds and pricing of credit derivatives.Credit risk has also been a cause and consequence of the current nancial crisis.Thus, methods for measuring credit risk, default...

Among the most crucial input parameters for credit portfolio risk models are the co-movements ofdefault risks. Due to limited empirical evidence about the magnitude of correlations the New BaselCapital Accord sets standard requirements for calculating regulatory capital requirements, e.g. in...

Starting from the Merton framework for firm defaults, we provide the analytics and robustness of the relationship between default correlations. We show that loans with higher default probabilities will not only have higher variances but also higher correlations between loans. As a consequence,...