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We study a simultaneous, complete-information game played by p = 1 P agents. Each p has an ordinal decision variable Y p ∈ A p ={ 0 1 M p} , where M p can be unbounded, A p is p’s action space, and each element in A p is an action , that is, a potential value for Y p . The collective action...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756274
We suggest that one individual holds multiple degrees of belief about an outcome, given the evidence. We then investigate the implications of such noisy probabilities for a buyer and a seller of binary options and find the odds agreed upon to ensure zero-expectation betting, differ from those...
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expected utility paradigm. This paper develops a theory of decision making with a partially specified probability. The paper …
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To allow conditioning on counterfactual events, zero probabilities can be replaced by infinitesimal probabilities that range over a non-Archimedean ordered field. This paper considers a suitable minimal field that is a complete metric space. Axioms similar to those in Anscombe and Aumann (1963)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064322
We design a laboratory experiment to identify whether a preference for randomization defines a stable type across different choice environments. In games and individual decisions, subjects face twenty simultaneous repetitions of the same choice. Subjects can randomize by making different choices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101545
Epistemic game theory formalizes assumptions about rationality and mutual beliefs in a formal language, then studies … classical and recent developments in epistemic game theory and provide characterizations of a nonexhaustive, but wide, range of …
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