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This document proposes a general macroeconomic framework to analyze the behavior of inflation. This approach has two characteristics. The first is the distinction of monetary regimes based on the number of shocks that have a permanent effect on the price level. When all shocks have a permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616409
Forecasts of inflation in the United States since the mid eighties have had smaller errors than in the past, but those conditional on commonly used variables cannot consistently beat the ones from univariate models. This paper shows through simple modifications to the classical monetary model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788944
Systematic differences in the timing of wage setting decisions among industrialized countries provide an ideal framework to study the importance of wage rigidity in the transmission of monetary policy. The Japanese Shunto presents the best-known case of bunching in wage setting decisions: From...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280965
holding money. To that end, an extensive long-run econometric analysis of money demand is carried out for Mexico using the … monetary aggregate M1. Based on it, two indicators are calculated, the money gap and the m* indicator. Such gap measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445082
In macroeconomic models, the level of price dispersion - which is typically approximated through its relationship with inflation - is a central determinant of welfare, the cost of business cycles, the optimal rate of inflation, and the tradeoff between inflation and output stability. While the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460695
This paper examines whether the low interest rate environment that has prevailed since the Great Recession has compelled banks to reach for yield. It is important to recognize that banks can take on a variety of risks that offer higher yields today but incur different forms of future losses....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754831
dichotomy model with monetary policy regime shifts at known dates. First, there was a regime dominated by money, afterwards a … money, the exchange rate pass-through and the impact profile of other variables. The model proposed here is very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788967
We analyze the issue of the impact of multiple breaks on monetary neutrality results, using a long annual international data set. We empirically verify whether neutrality propositions remain addressable (and if so, whether they hold or not), when unit root tests are carried out allowing for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322558
This postdoctoral research aimed to highlight sustainability convergence criteria in the context of financialisation, with impact on the prudential regulator. Based on complex analysis, the research work has revealed that countries in Central and Eastern Europe still face significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527422
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit root test robust to nonlinearities, error distributions, structural breaks and outliers, many of them typical features of inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567