of the unemployment rate and of worker transitions …

employment, unemployment and inactivity, from several angles. I examine aggregate conditional transition probabilities, job … contributions of job-finding and job-separation rates to fluctuations in the unemployment rate. Over the past cycle, the job …

Most economists maintain that the labor market in the United States (and elsewhere) is tight because unemployment rates … are low and the Beveridge Curve (the vacancies-to-unemployment ratio) is high. They infer from this that there is … potential for wage-push inflation. However, real wages are falling rapidly at present and, prior to that, real wages had been …

probabilities between private and public employment, unemployment and inactivity. We examine the stocks and flows by gender, age and … unemployment rate. Public-sector employment contributes 20 percent to fluctuations in the unemployment rate in the UK, 15 percent …

inflation and unemployment. We focus on the G7 economies plus Spain, and use monthly data –high-frequency data in a macro …. We find that total connectedness is larger for prices (58.28%) than for unemployment (41.81%). We also identify …

in claimant unemployment in the UK between 2004 and 2006 …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …