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We derive the equilibrium asset expected returns when there is ambiguity in asset expected returns, as well as ambiguity in asset return variances. In our model, ambiguity risk is systematic in nature and is non-diversifiable. Under regularity conditions, expected asset returns are linearly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902825
We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
We examine a production-based asset pricing model with an unobservable mean growth rate ollowing a two-state Markov chain and with an ambiguity averse representative agent. Our model requires a low coefficient of relative risk aversion to produce: (i) a high equity premium and volatile equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066542
an asset pricing model (e.g., the domestic CAPM). Different from a Bayesian approach, the investor separately relies on … investors, ambiguity aversion generates strong home bias in equity holdings, regardless of beliefs in the CAPM or risk aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060281
I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
We consider a linear factor APT model and assume that agents are ambiguity averse with respect to payoffs of arbitrage portfolios. In contrast to the standard result, pricing errors need not converge to zero in the limit as the number of assets goes to infinity. Even in the case of exact factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142098
We confront the generalized recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences of Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005, 2009) with data using Bayesian methods introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to close two existing gaps in the literature. First, we use macroeconomic and financial data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011365
If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply of goods must appear in precise configurations but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685225
I study the effects of risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) on optimal portfolios and equilibrium asset prices when investors receive information that is difficult to link to fundamentals. I show that the desire of investors to hedge ambiguity leads to portfolio inertia and excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133587
We formulate a tractable continuous-time rational expectations model in which the agent is ambiguity averse and would like to robustify asset return specification. Ambiguity affects the portfolio rule and asset pricing both individually and collectively with risk. Independently existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931950