Showing 1 - 10 of 1,086
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
There is a disagreement on the concept, definition and application of the paradigm of sustainable development. The definition that has been accepted by many involves several components, and it is difficult to measure or quantify indicators. Depending on the structure of the economy, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621515
In this paper the results of six different estimation methods appliead to a linear aggregated model of the Italian economy are at first displayed. Afterwards, the inherent dynamic characteristics and the simulation properties of the six sets of estimates are analyzed. In no case the obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498495
In the econometric literature simulation techniques are suggested for estimating standard errors of forecasts, especially in case of nonlinear models, where explicit analytic formulae are not available. For this purpose analytic simulation on coefficients, Monte Carlo on coefficients, Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008873502
This study aims to introduce an ideal model for forecasting crude oil price volatility. For this purpose, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258951
Schwarz. In this paper I evaluate the predictive ability of the Akaike and Schwarz information criteria using autoregressive integrated moving average models, with sectoral data of Chilean GDP. In terms of root mean square error, and after the estimation of more than a million models, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418476
There is no standard economic forecasting procedure that systematically outperforms the others at all horizons and with … forecasting purposes where the traditional ARMA specification is preferred. Accounting for the Easter effect improves the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418499
from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
This paper addresses the issue of improving the forecasting performance of vector autoregressions (VARs) when the set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008592950