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Oil price showed sharp fluctuations in recent years which revived the interest in its effect on inflation. In this paper, we discuss the relationship between oil price and inflation in Spain, at national and regional levels, and making the distinction between energy and non-energy inflation. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496140
Oil price showed sharp fluctuations in recent years which revived the interest in its effect on inflation. In this paper, we discuss the relationship between oil price and inflation in Spain, at national and regional levels, and making the distinction between energy and non-energy inflation. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389041
Romania these predictions being provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting (Dobrescu macromodel), National Commission for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439151
Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) for short-term forecasting of inflation - Autoregressive integrated moving average models … models' out-of-sample forecasting performance for the period 2012 q3 to 2016 q2 by using a number of forecast evaluation … to individual models' forecasts. Our results point to three important conclusions. First, the forecasting accuracy of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785369
Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) for short-term forecasting of inflation - Autoregressive integrated moving average models … models' out-of-sample forecasting performance for the period 2012 q3 to 2016 q2 by using a number of forecast evaluation … to individual models' forecasts. Our results point to three important conclusions. First, the forecasting accuracy of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717605
. Forecasting from such a model assuming "no structural break" and "correct model" is tantamount to ignoring important aspects of …) a random walk model. Optimal IC approach, though computational intensive, outperforms in forecasting next period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040055
the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901421
We assess the power of artificial neural network models as forecasting tools for monthly inflation rates for 28 OECD … countries. For short out-of-sample forecasting horizons, we find that, on average, for 45% of the countries the ANN models were … models can also serve as a credible tool for forecasting inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005748075
The paper theoretically and empirically investigates the effect of changes in national labourmarket conditions on regional growth from the point of view of local economies. The mechanism of efficiency wage is introduced to a growth model and it is argued that local regions belonging to richer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005748083
) benchmarks. Across inflation components, the forecast accuracy gains are 20-30% forecasting 3 months ahead and 15-55% forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805901