Showing 1 - 10 of 616
forecasting daily electricity prices in two of the main European markets, Germany and Italy. We do that by means of mixed …-frequency models, introducing a Bayesian approach to reverse unrestricted MIDAS models (RU-MIDAS). We study the forecasting accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987142
obvious advantage of financial and energy market data in forecasting oil prices is their availability in real time on a daily … monthly inventories. We conclude that typically not much is lost by ignoring high-frequency financial data in forecasting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336456
obvious advantage of financial data in forecasting oil prices is their availability in real time on a daily or weekly basis … lost by ignoring high-frequency financial data in forecasting the monthly real price of oil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203447
global imbalances. -- oil price ; exchange rate ; forecasting ; multivariate time series models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731788
been applied to oil price forecasting, by allowing for sequentially updating of time-varying combination weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544443
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management.The recent availability of high-frequency data allows for refined methods in this field.In particular, more precise measures for the daily or lower frequency volatility can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727640
We propose a novel time-varying parameters mixed-frequency dynamic factor model which is integrated into a dynamic model averaging framework for macroeconomic nowcasting. Our suggested model can efficiently deal with the nature of the real-time data flow as well as parameter uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119825
variancefunctions. In a genuine out-of-sample forecasting experiment theperformance of the best fitted asMA-asQGARCH model is compared … topure asMA and no-change forecasts. This is done both in terms ofconditional mean forecasting as well as in terms of risk … forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
selecting the best forecasting model class in finite samples of practical relevance. Flanking such a horse race by predictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895825
the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901421