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cointegration techniques in modelling the conditional mean, as well as multivariate GARCH models for the conditional variances. We … specifiy the conditional variances of VECM residuals with the Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) multivariate GARCH model … of Bollerslev (1990) and the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model of Engle (2002). The “within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005385388
This paper estimates the dynamic conditional correlations in the returns on WTI oil one-month forward prices, and one-, three-, six-, and twelve-month futures prices, using recently developed multivariate conditional volatility models. The dynamic correlations enable a determination of whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990039
equity premium. In addition, the model predicts: (v) the GARCH property of risky asset returns; (vi) the Forward Discount …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005385431
. Finally, the predictive accuracy of the HAR-RV model is tested against GARCH specifications using one-step-ahead forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008502108