Geostatistical spatial models are widely used in many applied fields to forecast data observed on continuous three-dimensional surfaces. We propose to extend their use to finance and, in particular, to forecasting yield curves. We present the results of an empirical application where we apply...

In many fields of applied statistics samples from several locations in an investigation area are taken repeatedly over time. Especially in environmental monitoring the chemical and physical conditions in water, air and soil are measured using fixed and possibly mobile monitoring stations. The...

Noisy observations form the basis for almost every scientific research and especially in environmental monitoring. The Noise is often an effect of imprecise instruments which cause measurement errors. If the noise variance is known it is possible to filter out the contaminating noise from the...

We propose a general protocol for calibration and validation of complex simulation models by an approach based on discovery and comparison of causal structures. The key idea is that configurations of parameters of a given theoretical model are selected by minimizing a distance index between two...

In this paper we describe a computer intensive method to find the ridge parameter in a prediction oriented linear model. With the help of a factorial experimental design the method is tested and compared to a classical one.