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The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets
Isengildina, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - 2005
The economic value of public situation and outlook information has long been a subject of debate. The purpose of this study is to investigate the economic value of USDA reports in hog and cattle markets. The investigation is based on event study analysis, with the "events" consisting of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442967
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Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia
Shi, Wei; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Dietz, Sarah N. - 2005
While the risk premium hypothesis in futures markets has been the subject of a long and continuous controversy, the risk premium hypothesis in forward markets is also of interest among economists. The hypothesis is supported by some theoretical arguments and empirical evidence yet remains an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442969
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Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Bayesian Approach to Performance Evaluation
Cabrini, Silvina M.; Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2006
marketing recommendations. Results indicate that even when skeptical beliefs are incorporated into the model a few programs in … corn and several programs in soybeans appear to be better marketing alternative compared to a naïve strategy that mimics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442981
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THE VALUE OF USDA OUTLOOK INFORMATION: AN INVESTIGATION USING EVENT STUDY ANALYSIS
Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Gomez, Jennifer K. - 2001
The economic value of public situation and outlook information has long been a subject of debate. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the economic value of USDA WASDE reports in corn and soybean markets. The investigation is based on event study analysis, with the "events" consisting of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442999
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TRACKING THE PERFORMANCE OF MARKETING PROFESSIONALS: 1995-2000 RESULTS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS
Irwin, Scott H.; Martines-Filho, Joao; Good, Darrel L. - 2002
The purpose of this research bulletin is to summarize the pricing performance of professional market advisory services for the 1995-2000 corn and soybean crops. The pricing performance results over 1995-2000 suggest several key findings. First, advisory programs in corn do not consistently beat...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444395
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DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE CORN AND SOYBEAN MARKETS OVER 1995-1997
Irwin, Scott H.; Jackson, Thomas E.; Good, Darrel L. - 1999
by the AgMAS Project, are available for the 1995, 1996 and 1997 marketing years. Performance test results suggest that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444396
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1999 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVIVES FOR WHEAT
Martines-Filho, Joao; Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2001
The purpose of this research report is to present an evaluation of advisory service pricing performance in the 1999 crop year for wheat. Specifically, the average price received by a subscriber to an advisory service is calculated for wheat crop harvested in 1999. The average net advisory price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444397
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Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004
Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2005
The purpose of this report is to improve understanding of USDA crop forecasting methods, performance and market impact. A review of USDA's forecasting procedures and methodology confirmed the objectivity and consistency of the forecasting process over time. No changes in methodology occurred in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444398
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THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2000
Good, Darrel L.; Martines-Filho, Joao; Irwin, Scott H. - 2002
the different advisory programs. These assumptions are intended to accurately depict "real-world" marketing conditions …. Several key assumptions are: i) with a few exceptions, the marketing window for a crop year runs from September before harvest … on-farm or commercial sites, and iv) marketing loan recommendations made by advisory programs are followed wherever …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444399
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DEVELOPMENT OF A MARKET BENCHMARK PRICE FOR AGMAS PERFORMANCE EVALUATIONS
Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H.; Jackson, Thomas E. - 1998
-year crop marketing window. The average cash price meets all of the desired properties, except that it would not be easily … during the marketing window very closely approximates the average cash price. Therefore, it is determined that the average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444400