Data do not always obey the normality assumption, and outliers can have dramatic impacts on the quality of the least squares methods. We use Huber's loss function in developing robust methods for time-course multivariate responses. We use spline basis expansion of the time-varying regression...

El propósito de este documento es presentar el trabajo sobre la sectorización y clasificación de Holdings usando Machine Learning (en español, Aprendizaje Automático) que se ha desarrollado en la Central de Balances en el Banco de España durante el último año. Este trabajo también ha...

Widespread electric vehicle adoption is considered a major policy goal in order to decarbonize the transport sector. However, potential rebound effects both in terms of vehicle ownership and distance traveled might nullify the environmental edge of electric vehicles. Using cross-sectional...

This paper develops a novel indicator of global economic activity, the GEA Tracker, which is based on commodity prices selected recursively through a genetic algorithm. The GEA Tracker allows for daily real-time knowledge of international business conditions using a minimum amount of...

This paper proposes a multi-level dynamic factor model to identify common components in output gap estimates. We pool multiple output gap estimates for 157 countries and decompose them into one global, eight regional, and 157 country-specific cycles. Our approach easily deals with mixed...

This study uses machine learning techniques to identify the key drivers of financial development in Africa. To this end, four regularization techniques— the Standard lasso, Adaptive lasso, the minimum Schwarz Bayesian information criterion lasso, and the Elasticnet are trained based on a...

This study uses machine learning techniques to identify the key drivers of financial development in Africa. To this end, four regularization techniques- the Standard lasso, Adaptive lasso, the minimum Schwarz Bayesian information criterion lasso, and the Elasticnet are trained based on a dataset...

A copula model with flexibly specified dependence structure can be useful to capture the complexity and heterogeneity in economic and financial time series. However, there exists little methodological guidance for the specification process using copulas. This paper contributes to fill this gap...

We compare sparse and dense representations of predictive models in macroeconomics, microeconomics and ftnance. To deal with a large number of possible predictors, we specify a prior that allows for both variable selection and shrinkage. The posterior distribution does not typically concentrate...