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The goal of the paper is to decompose gross exports/imports to/from Germany for seven selected economies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE): the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, and Slovakia for 2000 and 2014, to identify the role of German in absorbing, reflecting,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057323
The international business cycle is very important for Latin America's economic performance as the recent global crisis vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the world have altered the transmission mechanism of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278334
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500234
The goal of the paper is to decompose gross exports/imports to/from Germany for seven selected economies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE): the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, and Slovakia for 2000 and 2014, to identify the role of German in absorbing, reflecting,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033048
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197334
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013536499
conventional government bonds with a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Downwards revisions of inflation expectations are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294028
Bayesian networks. A TSCM can be seen as a structural VAR identified by the causal relations among the variables. We classify … variables based on their observed time series data. It is shown that while an unconstrained VAR model does not imply any causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295223
This paper asks the question: Why has the ?general-to-specific? cointegrated VAR approach as developed in Europe had … focus on the journal publication metric for advancement. Specifically, the European ?general-to specific? cointegrated VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295269
The primary aim of the paper is to place current methodological discussions on empirical modeling contrasting the 'theory first' versus the 'data first' perspectives in the context of a broader methodological framework with a view to constructively appraise them. In particular, the paper focuses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295282