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Proof that application of GARCH technique offers potential for profitability. Forecasting is an underestimated field of … forecasting methods in context of supply chains and demonstrated financial profitability from use of the GARCH technique. It … advanced forecasting tools for decision support in supply chain scenarios and provide preliminary simulation results from their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433075
Forecasting is an underestimated field of research in supply chain management. Recently advanced methods are coming … this paper we explore advanced forecasting tools for decision support in supply chain scenarios and provide preliminary …Application of econometric principles and techniques (VAR-MGARCH) to risk analytics and forecasting in operations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009432261
data. This paper proposes some modifications to adaptan advanced forecasting technique (GARCH) with the aim to develop it …Forecasting is a necessity almost in any operation. However, the tools of forecasting are still primitive in viewof the … as a decision support tool applicableto a wide variety of operations including supply chain management (SCM). We have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433267
. The data covers the period of 2005-2009. To effectively forecast the volatility in the exchange rates, a GARCH model is … forecasting can be made at least for the next day given the high degree of volatility in the crisis period. The paper also reveals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011205925
This article examines the volatility forecasting abilities of three approaches: GARCH-type model that uses carbon … document that GARCH-type models perform better than an implied volatility and the k-nearest neighbor model. This result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868786
-Switching Autoregressive (MSAR) models with Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) errors in each regime to cope with … including a GARCH specification for density forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010668063
There has been a rapid increase in the number of corporate bonds issued in Australia since the middle of 1998. This increase has stimulated interest in characterising the yield curves and the factors that determine changes in these spreads. The focus of this paper is on measuring any impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010749499
We present an estimation and forecasting method, based on a differential evolution MCMC method, for inference in GARCH … nearly all series. Finally, we carry out a forecasting exercise to evaluate the usefulness of structural break models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116269
large number of forecasting models have been designed to forecast crude oil prices' volatility, so far the relative … performance evaluation of competing forecasting models remains an exercise that is unidimensional in nature. To be more specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571716
literature on GARCH models favors some rather complex volatility specifications whose relative performance is usually assessed … through their likelihood based on a time series of asset returns. This paper compares a range of GARCH models along a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197435