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This study proposes an extension to the inflation targeting framework for Poland that takes into consideration the exchange rate stability constraints imposed by the obligatory participation in the ERM2 on the path to the euro. The modified policy framework is based on targeting the differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476869
Despite the fact that there is a substantial literature on the analysis of volatility spillovers between stock returns and domestic exchange rates, surprisingly, little empirical research has examined volatility spillovers between oil prices and emerging economies, where a clear gap of research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446192
market, a 2-state regime-switching model with Markov transition chain is carried out. GARCH effects are also built into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446513
recently proposed Dynamic Conditional Correlations (DCC) class of GARCH models, I estimate the covariance of the fundamental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429055
-term univariate traffic condition forecasting method is presented in this dissertation by assimilating knowledge from previous … two conditional moments of univariate traffic flow series can be modeled as a SARIMA+GARCH structure, based on which an … online forecasting system can be developed using seasonal exponential smoothing and Kalman filter. Supplementary components …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431160
components model, where each component can follow a GARCH type process. In general, the main findings of the empirical exercise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530220
countries with infl ation targets —namely, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru—by fitting GARCH-type models. These countries … concreto, Chile, Colombia, México y Perú—, mediante modelos de la familia de los GARCH. Estas economías representan una amplia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530389
with the productive chain as a whole, using marketing strategies and searching concepts of Supply Chain Management (SCM). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442756
technology change the parameters based on time trends may be too large for long run forecasting. When there is clearly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435383
forecasting system (STIFS) database, are mostly EIA data regularly published in the Monthly Energy Review, Petroleum Supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435399