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In this paper we develop a new semi-parametric model for conditional correlations, which combines parametric univariate GARCH-type specifications for the individual conditional volatilities with nonparametric kernel regression for the conditional correlations. This approach not only avoids the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731661
This paper investigates the conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil returns and stock index returns. Daily returns from 2 January 1998 to 4 November 2009 of the crude oil spot, forward and futures prices from the WTI and Brent markets, and the FTSE100, NYSE, Dow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732594
International and domestic tourism are leading economic activities in the world today. Tourism has been known to generate goods and services directly and indirectly, attract foreign currency, stimulate employment, and provide opportunities for investment. It has also been recognized as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732599
a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732618
Asia is presently the most important market for the production and consumption of natural rubber. World prices of rubber are not only subject to changes in demand, but also to speculation regarding future markets. Japan and Singapore are the major futures markets for rubber, while Thailand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732624
The paper examines the performance of four multivariate volatility models, namely CCC, VARMA-GARCH, DCC and BEKK, for the crude oil spot and futures returns of two major benchmark international crude oil markets, Brent and WTI, to calculate optimal portfolio weights and optimal hedge ratios, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732632
In this paper we put forward a generalization of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) Model of Engle (2002). Our model allows for asset-specific correlation sensitivities, which is useful in particular if one aims to summarize a large number of asset returns. The resultant GDCC model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837700
a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837748
. Forecasting volatility, it is generally advisable to aggregate forecasts of the disaggregate series rather than forecasting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837792
This paper investigates the performance of quasi maximum likelihood (QML) and nonlinear least squares (NLS) estimation applied to temporally aggregated GARCH models. Since these are known to be only weak GARCH, the conditional variance of the aggregated process is in general not known. Thus, one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837845